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I don't want to buy car insurance any more. I want my AI agent to handle it, dealing with the insurer's AI agent. The share of the economy that works that way is the best early-warning indicator we have for the AI revolution hitting markets. The Agent Economy Index is a way to measure it, with a first reading and the thresholds that mean take-off.

Earlier this summer I gave the keynote at the Cottingham & Butler CEO Summit in Chicago. This is the argument I made, and why I think most mid-market CEOs are doing the second half of their AI job without ever doing the first.

My third SSRN paper is out. It asks the question I now think defines the AI era for leaders: when your systems start setting their own sub-goals, who holds purpose, who judges, and how much agency do you hand over?

My second SSRN paper is out. 'Will AI take my job?' is the wrong question. The right one is what happens to human economic value when intelligence becomes cheap, and the answer is that the bottleneck moves to purpose.

My first SSRN working paper is out. It takes the Purpose, Execution, Judgement framework I first wrote about on LinkedIn, integrates it with the AI Capability model, and sets out six propositions for testing.

My first book is out today. Three years of fieldwork with hundreds of organisations, distilled into the Seven Stages of Organisational AI Transformation and a route map from AI awareness to AI embedding.

A keynote to two hundred recruitment leaders, built around a monk on Lindisfarne, a bicycle, and one uncomfortable question: how many people are you prepared to let overtake you?

An evening webinar for Manchester Metropolitan University on one practical question: if you're not a techie, where do you start with AI? My answer is the juice.

My TEDxWarrington talk is out. It starts in 1991 with a dial-up modem and my dad, and ends with a pilot flying into a storm.

My LTSE2023 talk on what generative AI means for higher education, six months after ChatGPT launched: the 4x knowledge worker, why planning by committee won't work, and the pilot in the storm.

The session I gave my Business School colleagues four months after ChatGPT launched: a gap that has just widened overnight, a machine that completes the sequence, and the one part of knowledge work it can't do.