Anabology's Escape Velocity sets a fear many business leaders carry to music: a window is closing. I don't believe AI creates a permanent underclass. I think it reorders the ladder, and the next eighteen months, as AI moves into the disruption of markets and supply chains, will largely decide who climbs and who falls.

I don't want to buy car insurance any more. I want my AI agent to handle it, dealing with the insurer's AI agent. The share of the economy that works that way is the best early-warning indicator we have for the AI revolution hitting markets. The Agent Economy Index is a way to measure it, with a first reading and the thresholds that mean take-off.

Earlier this summer I gave the keynote at the Cottingham & Butler CEO Summit in Chicago. This is the argument I made, and why I think most mid-market CEOs are doing the second half of their AI job without ever doing the first.

A keynote to two hundred recruitment leaders, built around a monk on Lindisfarne, a bicycle, and one uncomfortable question: how many people are you prepared to let overtake you?

My TEDxWarrington talk is out. It starts in 1991 with a dial-up modem and my dad, and ends with a pilot flying into a storm.

The session I gave my Business School colleagues four months after ChatGPT launched: a gap that has just widened overnight, a machine that completes the sequence, and the one part of knowledge work it can't do.